Wednesday, February 17, 2010

I Will Prove That Gambling can be a Sure Thing!

It's funny how people say that nothing is free in life. Most people would say that one cannot win in the field of gambling.

Well, think again because that is flat out W-R-O-N-G WRONG!

Gambling can be a 100% no lose propositon and I mean without a doubt a no lose proposition!

No it's not going againt the Vegas line on an everyday basis as that is hard and in order to win you probably will need help from an expert like myself. What I am talking about is something called free money middles. Not many people know about this phenomenon and that is another example of what sets me apart from pretty much everybody. If everybody on this planet was a sharpie than nobody would be a sharpie so I feel blessed that I am ahead of that curve.

Anyway, most of you are probably on one of the on-line sports books these days, whether it be Bodog.com or sportsbook.com or pinnacle.com or whatever. The days of the corner Crookie are pretty much all gone except for a few exceptions.

Most people do know about middling a game, say one site has 3 and another has 3 1/2 and you try and hit that 3 and win on one side while pushing on the other. That is fairly simple for anybody in the gaming industry to understand. I will take it much further than that as that 3- 3 1/2 middle does have a downside called juice and eventually hitting a middle like that may not make up for the numerous amount of 10% losses that come your way .

On almost all of these on-line sites you will see random prop plays. Obviously the SuperBowl had a million and one, everything from the coin toss to the over under on the length of the National Anthem to how many first downs the teams will combine for. Well if you noticed a lot of the props have leans on them meaning basically a moneyline. For example the total amount of touchdowns in the big game was seven but since eight was a little more unlikely the lean was on the under making it around 7 under 50. In plain english that means that you would have to risk $150 for every $100 if you played that under.

But numbers such as these are definitely not set in stone and vary from book to book and from minute to minute depending upon each book's action. So it may have been 7 under 50 at one place (say place A) and could have moved all the way to 7 under 15 in another (say place B). If you don't understand what I'm getting at then listen and learn.

Let's say the takeback on that 7 under 50 was plus 120 on the over. Let's also say that you were a member of both of those sportsbooks. You can play both sides and win free money by just making a few clicks of the mouse.

If you put $1,000 on the over plus 120 (place A) you would be risking the dime to win $1,200. On the other side, the under at place B you would be risking $1,150 to win that dime. As long as there aren't seven touchdowns in the game, which would result in a push and wipe out all action, then you win $50 on one side and break even on the other. If you wanted to make sure that you won money and not put all of your eggs in one basket ($50 vs. 0) you can even split it up and instead of laying the full $1,000 to win 1,200 you can go down to risking about 980 and guarantee yourself about $20 on each side.

Trust me when I tell you that I find middles almost every single day like this. The Super Bowl is the Coup of all coups because of the quantity which leads to many many more free money middles but there are a lot per week if you are playing at the right sportsbooks.

Here's another example, this one is made up but will once again prove my point. The Heat are in New Jersey and Dwyane Wade is laying 8 1/2 points and assists to Devin Harris. Most sites may have that same number of 8 1/2 but the leans could be well off and that's all that matters. Site A may have Wade laying that 8 1/2 and minus 170 with a takeback of 140 on Harris. Meanwhile Site B may have Wade laying the 8 1/2 and only 120.

So laying a full dime on Harris would get you $1,400 back. Then on Wade at minus 120 you are laying only $1,200 to win a dime. Once again all of your eggs are in one basket making it a no-lose proposition at plus $200 or break even. The best part about a prop like this is that it cannot push since it is a half so barring the game somehow getting canceled you cannot lose!

If you want to assure yourself of some money then just risk less than the dime on Harris. You will get less back if it wins but you are also risking less if it loses. For example risk say $900 for $1,260 and you then are guaranteeing yourself either a free $100 if Wade wins or a free $60 if Harris wins, if my math is correct that is. It's just that easy.

Now sometimes you have to be patient to get these free money middles and you have to be on a few, if not more, sites that have a high quantity of prop plays but in the end you will be making a ton of money with absolutely no risk whatsoever.

I'm not saying that people are made of money and can just throw thousands and thousands of dollars to a bunch of different websites but there are agents out there that you can play with on credit or you can treat this as an investment that cannot lose, as long as you just stay the course and don't make too many real minus 110 bets.

Use the system for what it is. These sportsbooks have ridiculous juice and leans when it comes to this so if you can at times put it in your favor then I say go for it!

Now if you want to win money today with me I'm all for that as well. My highest rated 500,000* is here in the game from Columbia between Texas and Missouri. Also a pair of bonus locks to boot. Oh and by the way I'm up literally 2.9 million* of profit over just the past month after another monster Tuesday that had me bang home a 400,000* on South Florida with ease.

Good luck!

2 comments:

  1. I'm not lying when I say that Matt Rivers is one of, if not, the most honest handicappers in the business. He will always tell when he wins or loses and absolutely NEVER gives out two picks on the same game. Couple this honesty with a keen understanding of how to select a dog to win outright and you've got the recipe for a solid handicapper. I've used Matt on numerous occasions and would not hesitate to use him again when I needed a solid opinion.

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  2. Matt - very strong. I always thought of middles in terms of just spreads.
    Being a player that is on FIVE different websites, I am going to look for these.
    You Da Man Rivers!

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