Friday, February 26, 2010
Tennis Gambling
Sure we have seen for years the majors being put up, or at least the seminfinals and finals at most places, but now the quantity is up a ton and that creates more opportunities for you and I.
Let me say that I am far from being a tennis afficianado but I do follow it enough to know the good players from the mediocre and the mediocre from the bad. That has been enough this season to spot overinflated lines and there are a ton of them out there. This is the case for whatever reason more with the women than the men as the better male seems to prevail at a higher rate than the better female. Ironically enough I would venture to guess how it was the complete opposite in years' past as the best women (Chris Evert, Martina, etc.) used to be heads and shoulders better than the rest, but not so much anymore.
If you can break down a tennis line and compare it to another sport a lot of the time the better value will be on the courts with that horizontal net. A lot of players play tournaments just to put some coin in their pocket, get their fee for being there and then mail it in a bit, those people are tennis whores that don't have all that much desire to be there but a thirst for wealth. For example you can get a young up and comer who wants to play in these events and make a name for themselves against the older veteran who would rather get the match over with and lay on the beach. Take a look at the venue where some of these things are and realize the makeup of the players and would they rather be in a hard fought match or relaxing in luxury.
There is a great example of that later today and win or lose it is still a solid value. Romanian Edina Gallots, ranked something like 150th in the world takes on Venus Williams. Serena's older sister just won in three sets last night against a total nobody, is not what she used to be and cannot be all that excited about playing an unknown near the beaches of Acapulco. Last night the Flytrap needed three sets as the $25 favorite, yes $25, not 2 and not 5 but $25 and had to rally from 5-2 down in that third set in order to beat an unknown. That took a lot of energy and probably zapped strength from Venus and who knows how she will respond today or if she even will care.
Gallots meanwhile has been playing spirited tennis and is coming off of two quality upsets in a row including as the $3 dog against a fairly well known Sara Errani. The Romainian who currently lives in Atlanta is looking to rise up the charts. This match is the Super Bowl to her.
Of course Venus should win as she is much better but to get literally $8 back in this very random spot is a ton better in terms of value than the 14 point NFL or NBA dog on the moneyline as that just hardly ever happens. In other words the odds are much greater for a Gallotts upset here than for the Rams to go on the road to Indianapolis and beat Peyton Manning and the Colts or for Ul Monroe to travel to Troy and beat the Trojans.
All in all on the hardcourts we are seeing the superior players getting a little too much credit and you can make some coin by isolating numbers that are just too high. The juice is normally a ton as $8 favorites will only get you $5 or so back but the $5 a lot of times is still very generous.
Take advantage of this because eventually these still new and fresh lines will sharpen!
Matt Rivers Sports Info Pick
As dominant as the USA’s hockey team first period against Finland was, that’s what Matt Rivers has done to the sportsbook. Rivers was the winningest handicapper ever—nobody came close—on a large network of sites before coming to the show.
Tonight he has Brown plus the points. They are getting 16 points at Harvard according to the Olympic odds.
Here is what Rivers says:
Harvard is a very very good Ivy League team that has proven a ton to me this season. They have played legitimate teams and held their own including upsetting Boston College and staying toe-to toe with UCONN. Tommy Amaker has really built up this program and right now they are second best in the conference behind only Cornell. They did lose to Princeton as the Tigers are pretty good themselves but the Crimson are still the superior team of those two.
Harvard is well superior to tonight’s opponent in Brown but this number just feels a little too large to me. The Bears are mediocre at best and a middling squad in this conference but they just shocked Princeton on the road as a very similar pup and should be feeling alright about themselves here.
The Bears have won two in a row, to start this four game road trip, and three of their last four with the only defeat coming at home against Harvard setting up a potential for payback right here. No I don’t think we will see an outright but that five game losing streak is a thing of the past and Jesse Agel’s team seems to be coming around a bit of late.
There is no doubt that Jeremy Lin is the best player on the court and he should score his usual 20 or so but in the end this price seems to be a little too steep. The Crimson should roll but something in the range of 68-60.
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Thursday, February 25, 2010
Picks Matt Rivers
OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Handicapper, Generation Zero tipster Matt Rivers has Arizona State -2.5 at Stanford. Odds to win the 2010 NCAA Tournament are heating up, but there is more than enough money to make in the interim.
Stanford has been alright at home this season and Green and Fields are quality players but when push comes to shove right now I can’t help but back the more talented and superior Sun Devils, even on the road here as the dreaded road chalk.
Arizona State has not exactly overachieved this season but when you lose great players in Harden and Pendergraph that is hard to do. Herb Sendek’s team has been pretty good though at 19-8 is still not terrible and at 9-5 in the Pac-10 these guys are right there at the top looking for the conference title, just a half game behind Cal. Derek Glasser is your typical solid point guard that has experience and can get the job done and Abbott, Kuksiks and Boateng are quality players who can fill it up.
ASU has now won three in a row and five of six including four of the last five away from Tempe. Just the other day Sendek’s squad outclassed Arizona in Tucson and is coming into Palo Alto playing quite possibly their best ball of the year and with a ton of momentum.
Stanford at home should be good enough to compete here and they have actually won two straight and three of four. Johnny Dawkins’ team has some upside to be a little bit dangerous as any team does that boasts two talented scorers but the Cardinal are going nowhere this season and are in too tough of a spot today.
The Pick: Arizona State at SportsBook. The final score will be 64-57 in favor of the Sun Devils.
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Saturday, February 20, 2010
Matt Rivers Sports Info Pick
Friday, February 19, 2010
The Real Matt Rivers Free Basketball Bet Pick
Sports handicapper Matt Rivers has the Dallas Mavericks plus the points. They are playing the Orlando Magic on ESPN and getting 6.5 at BetUs Sportsbook
Here is why says the handicapper star.
Orlando at home is certainly more than capable of smacking around any opponent. Dwight Howard is a beast and with Rashard Lewis, Vince Carter and Jameer Nelson the Magic are an upper echelon NBA team. They were in the NBA finals a season ago and have a shot to go back but to be honest I think that losing Hedo Turkoglu is going to prove to be a very big deal.
Dallas is not exactly chopped liver and has the upside to hang with anybody when on his game. Mark Cuban’s franchise is once again boasting a very fine regular season team and after just acquiring Caron Butler from the Wizards and then beating up the Suns this Dallas squad is certainly a team to be reckoned with a bit.
Orlando has dropped the ball at times this season and are not a team that one can fully trust just yet.
I’m not saying that the Mavs are going to win this game or anything like that but it’s certainly not out of the question with their talent and in the end to get half a dozen or so is enough to give it a go in a small play.
The picks: Dallas at SportsBook
For more information: I’m now on a 33-21-1 run tallying an amazing 2.7 million* of profit in the last 34 days alone. I am 6-2 with my 400,000* in my career after South Florida on Tuesday and about to be 7-2 after Yale and Princeton tonight. A bonus 100,000* as well on Cornell and Harvard capping yet another soon to be 2-0 sweep of the board. Click now to purchase Matt Rivers picks.
Thursday, February 18, 2010
Rivers Free Pick
Hopefully the kneber botnet removal isn’t taking time away from your sports betting winners. Shaun White and the Olympics is today’s flavor but the top sports handicapper gurus continue to dominate year in and year out.
Super capper Matt Rivers has another on a long-line of free picks
Matt says to go with Wisconsin on the road at Minnesota. They are getting one-point at BetUs Sportsbook
It’s not the easiest thing to back a road team like this and not really be getting a handful of points but the way Tubby Smith’s Gophers have been regressing by the game I just do not see them coming through today, even at home.
Bo Ryan’s Badgers are a great defensive team that certainly can struggle on the offensive end without Jon Leuer but I don’t see them falling short today.
Minnesota has become a mush team this season. They have had a bunch of off the court issues and just seem to fall short game after game. Lawrence Westbrook is a player and will score some points but his team is in too much of a tailspin at this point to pull a 180 and beat a very solid and fundamentally sound Wisconsin squad. Many people expected big things from the Gophers but it just hasn’t happened and probably isn’t happening.
UM has now dropped two in a row and six of the last eight after completely imploding in Evanston the other day. Smith’s squad built the 13-point lead with about 8 to play and allowed a furious Northwestern run in a 77-74 overtime loss. A few weeks back the Gophers lost as the 10-point favorite at Indiana in overtime. Now to go up against the grinding Wiscy defense with absolutely no momentum on their side is just too tall of a task.
I can’t make this an all out pay play because of the Badgers offensive woes at times but they did just score 83 against Indiana and have won three of four.
Points should be at a premium and this thing has a great shot to end in the 50’s. The bottom line is that after 40 minutes the Gophers, even at home, will find a way for their misery to continue.
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One play is all you need today, period. I am not even coming close to tinkering with anything else as this is thee play. If you want quantity tonight I am not your man, go elsewhere. If you need an absolute bad boy of a lock in the Big East then you are at the right place as I am in love with this game, love. Click now to purchase
What about those Teasers and Parlays?
It's also dumb to play three games that you like and then parlay and or round robin those same games. Why do that? Play the three and if you win be happy with it. Don't get greedy because even if greed is good, as Gordon Gecko said, it will get you into trouble a lot more than it will help.
As for teasers they are mainly sucker plays. Books are not offering these out of the goodness of their heart, they're just not. BUT, there are certain spots that I do not necessarily mind them and will every now and then play them. For example when you can get that team which is great at home, say like a Michigan State and they are giving that 5 1/2 to a Wisconsin, another solid team but a squad that just does not play as well on the road, I feel very good about the Spartans. It would take a ton for Tom Izzo's team to lose a game like that but when it comes to that number it's a crapshoot as those things seem to always finish up around 64-58.
I don't really ever like to tease games up nor do I like to tease a higher number like a 12 down to say an 8 or so as I do not find much value in that but that 5 1/2 down to 1 1/2 in the right spot is alright.
Also, teasing a game with a high total is fairly asynine as four points or whatever between say a Washington and a California, where the game will be run and gun, does not have the same power as a lower scoring game where points are more at a premium like a Big Ten slower black and blue battle.
When it comes to football I am pretty much the same way as hoops. I do believe the six point two teamer is a better value than on the hardwoods with those four or so points. I never quite understood why you actually get more points on the gridiron when there are certain numbers (3,4,7,10) that are so key to get under unlike basketball where there is no such thing as a key number.
In the end, no to parlays, ever, and in certain situations yes to teasers, but the spot has to be perfect to actually pull the trigger.
If you need a winner today, Thursday, my highest rated play EVER is here. I am releasing a monster 500,000* between Syracuse and Georgetown. Oh and those 500,000* are an amazing 39-17 all-time! How have I been of late? How about 33-20-1 and over 3.2 million* of profit in the past 33 days! I feel as if I have tomorrow's newspaper and you will too!
Wednesday, February 17, 2010
I Will Prove That Gambling can be a Sure Thing!
Well, think again because that is flat out W-R-O-N-G WRONG!
Gambling can be a 100% no lose propositon and I mean without a doubt a no lose proposition!
No it's not going againt the Vegas line on an everyday basis as that is hard and in order to win you probably will need help from an expert like myself. What I am talking about is something called free money middles. Not many people know about this phenomenon and that is another example of what sets me apart from pretty much everybody. If everybody on this planet was a sharpie than nobody would be a sharpie so I feel blessed that I am ahead of that curve.
Anyway, most of you are probably on one of the on-line sports books these days, whether it be Bodog.com or sportsbook.com or pinnacle.com or whatever. The days of the corner Crookie are pretty much all gone except for a few exceptions.
Most people do know about middling a game, say one site has 3 and another has 3 1/2 and you try and hit that 3 and win on one side while pushing on the other. That is fairly simple for anybody in the gaming industry to understand. I will take it much further than that as that 3- 3 1/2 middle does have a downside called juice and eventually hitting a middle like that may not make up for the numerous amount of 10% losses that come your way .
On almost all of these on-line sites you will see random prop plays. Obviously the SuperBowl had a million and one, everything from the coin toss to the over under on the length of the National Anthem to how many first downs the teams will combine for. Well if you noticed a lot of the props have leans on them meaning basically a moneyline. For example the total amount of touchdowns in the big game was seven but since eight was a little more unlikely the lean was on the under making it around 7 under 50. In plain english that means that you would have to risk $150 for every $100 if you played that under.
But numbers such as these are definitely not set in stone and vary from book to book and from minute to minute depending upon each book's action. So it may have been 7 under 50 at one place (say place A) and could have moved all the way to 7 under 15 in another (say place B). If you don't understand what I'm getting at then listen and learn.
Let's say the takeback on that 7 under 50 was plus 120 on the over. Let's also say that you were a member of both of those sportsbooks. You can play both sides and win free money by just making a few clicks of the mouse.
If you put $1,000 on the over plus 120 (place A) you would be risking the dime to win $1,200. On the other side, the under at place B you would be risking $1,150 to win that dime. As long as there aren't seven touchdowns in the game, which would result in a push and wipe out all action, then you win $50 on one side and break even on the other. If you wanted to make sure that you won money and not put all of your eggs in one basket ($50 vs. 0) you can even split it up and instead of laying the full $1,000 to win 1,200 you can go down to risking about 980 and guarantee yourself about $20 on each side.
Trust me when I tell you that I find middles almost every single day like this. The Super Bowl is the Coup of all coups because of the quantity which leads to many many more free money middles but there are a lot per week if you are playing at the right sportsbooks.
Here's another example, this one is made up but will once again prove my point. The Heat are in New Jersey and Dwyane Wade is laying 8 1/2 points and assists to Devin Harris. Most sites may have that same number of 8 1/2 but the leans could be well off and that's all that matters. Site A may have Wade laying that 8 1/2 and minus 170 with a takeback of 140 on Harris. Meanwhile Site B may have Wade laying the 8 1/2 and only 120.
So laying a full dime on Harris would get you $1,400 back. Then on Wade at minus 120 you are laying only $1,200 to win a dime. Once again all of your eggs are in one basket making it a no-lose proposition at plus $200 or break even. The best part about a prop like this is that it cannot push since it is a half so barring the game somehow getting canceled you cannot lose!
If you want to assure yourself of some money then just risk less than the dime on Harris. You will get less back if it wins but you are also risking less if it loses. For example risk say $900 for $1,260 and you then are guaranteeing yourself either a free $100 if Wade wins or a free $60 if Harris wins, if my math is correct that is. It's just that easy.
Now sometimes you have to be patient to get these free money middles and you have to be on a few, if not more, sites that have a high quantity of prop plays but in the end you will be making a ton of money with absolutely no risk whatsoever.
I'm not saying that people are made of money and can just throw thousands and thousands of dollars to a bunch of different websites but there are agents out there that you can play with on credit or you can treat this as an investment that cannot lose, as long as you just stay the course and don't make too many real minus 110 bets.
Use the system for what it is. These sportsbooks have ridiculous juice and leans when it comes to this so if you can at times put it in your favor then I say go for it!
Now if you want to win money today with me I'm all for that as well. My highest rated 500,000* is here in the game from Columbia between Texas and Missouri. Also a pair of bonus locks to boot. Oh and by the way I'm up literally 2.9 million* of profit over just the past month after another monster Tuesday that had me bang home a 400,000* on South Florida with ease.
Good luck!
Tuesday, February 16, 2010
Matt Rivers Handicapper: Tops in the Pick Nation
The one and only Matt Rivers has a Fat Tuesday and Paczki calories day that will fatten bettors wallets with a little help from the sportsbooks.
Relax and watch NBC Olympic coverage of the Vancouver schedule, then place some winners.
OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Handicapper says go with Iowa plus the points. They are getting four from Michigan at BetUs Sportsbook
In the beginning of the season I called Todd Lickliter’s squad one of the worst Big 10 teams ever. Don’t get me wrong, these guys are far from being good right now but they are much improved and at home are actually alright.
Michigan is the far more talented team and it showed in the 14 point first meeting victory but on their home court I can’t help but scoop up whatever I can here on the Hawkeyes.
I still do not trust the Wolverines on the road even if they have a stud in Manny Harris and just won as the big dog in Minnesota. That was a very good win for sure but Tubby Smith’s Golden Gophers have regressed mightily of late and I’m not so sure if John Beilein’s guys can repeat that feat away from Ann Arbor.
Iowa has shown some strides of late in pounding a pretty solid Northwestern team and also winning handily on the highway in Bloomington. Tucker and Gatens are alright and in the end should stick around here in Iowa City.
For years now Michigan has performed well at home but not so much on the road. This has been the case once again this season and even though they are the more talented squad with the two best players on the court in Harris and DeShawn Sims I truly feel that the road will catch up to them.
In other words history normally repeats itself a lot more often than lightning strikes twice. The bottom line here is that I just do not trust Michigan away from Crisler, period.
The pick: Iowa at BetED
For more information: Another winning day on Monday thanks to the 300,000* on Texas A&M. 29-18-1 run for 2.6 million* of profit over the last 31 days. I continue to prove that I am the best there is and just more of the same right here and now.
Raising that Bar today with a 400,000* on Cincinnati-South Florida along with a 200,000* in the NBA and a 100,000* Kentucky-Mississippi State. Click now to purchase Matt Rivers card.
Monday, February 15, 2010
Is Luck a part of being a winning gambler?
I had a huge play on Northwestern, a highest rated 500,000* and found myself down 13 with just under 8 minutes to play. Things certainly looked a bit bleak but in the end I watched my Wildcats storm back and win in overtime. It certainly felt orgasmic and made me a ton of cash but relying on that fate more times than not is a bit unrealistic.
In finding a great capper, which me, the Real Matt Rivers is, you have to look at the quality of wins. Did I isolate that big play and nail it going away? No. I did win and cashed the ticket for that day but it's not a game that I feel solidified myself as the best as winners like that will even itself out in the long run. In other words I'm not just happy to win games like some, it's not about the quick buck, it's about the reputation and the repeat customers and even though I won that particular game I'm not thrilled of the way it went down. It happens though and I'm not going to beat myself up over it but when I cap a game and make it a big play I fully expect to destroy the Crookie and I mean destroy.
It's all about isolating and conquering. How many times do I win games going away and put you on the right side? Most of the time and that's what separates me from the clowns out there.
By the way going off on a tangent for a second, can you believe that some sites literally do not even put analysis out there with their plays. What kind of a scam are they running? I can have my young daughter run that type of a sheisty operation. So what if they are a bit cheaper in the end? What is the quality of the pick? How do you know that they are not completely double siding their selections? After all if there's no analysis how could you ever know that? Even if they are doing just that you can't ever know for sure.
Some of the sites that operate like that have one guy doing all seven or eight sites. In other words it's a freakin scam, a Bernie Madoff Pyramid of sorts and a lot of people have absolutely no idea. Having no analysis may be marketed to you as "cheaper" but how can you ever know the quality of your play. You can't!
Just make sure that you are purchasing a solid opinion of a person that has done the research and does know the players and can write legitimate English sentences proving that you are listening to somebody with a brain. Believing that all websites are the same or there are no criminals out there is extremely naive and something that should not be taken lightly.
If you want to win and get the best opinion on this Planet then give Matt Rivers a run and you'll be ecstatic in the end.
Two winners today, 500,000* of profit and I hit the 3 million* mark of profits over the past month.
You in?
Matt Rivers Picks
Superstar handicapping Matt Rivers has Connecticut plus the points. According to the college basketball odds they are getting 9.5 at Villanova.
Heck, if we used Matt Rivers picks as part of the stimulus package, Evan Bayh would not need to retire. Is there mail on President’s Day? Are banks open on Presidents Day 2010? No, but every sportsbook is open for Lundi Gras.
Here is what the top handicapper in the pick nation, Matt Rivers says about the contest:
Jim Calhoun’s Connecticut Huskies are rapidly becoming a disgrace of a team that may have already quit on the season but this is still not a terrible spot to back them in a small play.
It is impossible to invest the mortgage on this underachieving of a team that could conceivably get blasted by 40 if they continue to play as they did last game against the Bearcats and Villanova continues to play as they have but all in all the number is enough in this spot.
Jay Wright’s Wildcats are the best team in the Big East and are led by a superstar point guard in Scottie Reynolds. Villanova is extremely deep and athletic and have a shot at winning the National Championship when all is said and done. But with Pitt, Syracuse and West Virginia upcoming on the schedule and after seeing how the Huskies at least competed and covered two games ago in Syracuse I can see this thing being a little tighter than the experts believe.
There are no two ways around it; UCONN was pathetic in that last game at home against Cincinnati. There are two ways this team can go; completely quit and embarrass themselves to the max or come out fighting and prove that Calhoun is a top notch coach. I do think the latter will take place, as Dyson, Edwards, Walker, Robinson and the Huskies still possess a lot of talent and some heart, I think.
The Huskies have lost five of six and thinking it won’t be six of seven is a little asinine but they do still play some defense and should slow down the Wildcats from their usual ferocious pace keeping this game a little different than what Villanova has become accustomed to of late. I’m not saying that points will be at a premium or this will be a Heat/Knicks type of a battle from the early 90’s but we’re not going to see ‘Nova nearing 100 points and to get about 10 back is worth a stab.
For more information: Matt Rivers sports picks are on a 28-17-1 run for 2.5 million* of profit over the last 30 days. I continue to prove that I am the best there is and just more of the same today. 300,000* Big 12 Game of the Year plus a 200,000* from the MAAC. Another 2-0 sweep? You bet your arse. Click now to purchase and win in between the TV Winter Olympics schedule